Dynamic Model Averaging and CPI Inflation Forecasts: A Comparison between the Euro Area and the United States

The paper forecasts consumer price inflation in the euro area (EA) and in the USA between 1980:Q1 and 2012:Q4 based on a large set of predictors, with dynamic model averaging (DMA) and dynamic model selection (DMS). DMA/DMS allows not solely for coefficients to change over time, but also for changes in the entire forecasting model over time. DMA/DMS provides on average the best inflation forecasts with regard to alternative approaches (such as the random walk). DMS outperforms DMA. These results are robust for different sample periods and for various forecast horizons. The paper highlights common features between the USA and the EA. First, two groups of predictors forecast inflation: temporary fundamentals that have a frequent impact on inflation but only for short time periods; and persistent fundamentals whose switches are less frequent over time. Second, the importance of some variables (particularly international food commodity prices, house prices and oil prices) as predictors for consumer price index inflation increases when such variables experience large shocks. The paper also shows that significant differences prevail in the forecasting models between the USA and the EA. Such differences can be explained by the structure of these respective economies. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

带变量核的分数次积分交换子在变指数Herz-Morrey空间上的有界性

证明了带变量核的分数次积分算子T_(Ω,μ)与Lipschitz函数b生成的高阶交换子[b~m,T_(Ω,μ)]在变指数Herz-Morrey空间MK_(q,p)~(α,λ)(·)(R~n)上的有界性.     

一种自适应步长的复合梯度加速优化算法

自适应步长加速(Adam)类算法由于其计算效率高、兼容性好的特点，成为近期相关领域的研究热点.针对Adam收敛速度慢的问题，本文基于当前梯度、预测梯度以及历史动量梯度，提出一种新型Adam类一阶优化算法——复合梯度下降法(C-Adam)，并对其收敛性进行了理论证明.与其他加速算法的区别之处在于，C-Adam将预测梯度与历史动量区别开，通过一次真实的梯度更新找到下一次迭代更精准的搜索方向.利用两组常用测试数据集及45钢静拉伸破坏实验的实验数据对所提算法进行验证，实验结果表明C-Adam与其他流行算法相比较具有更快的收敛速度及更小的训练损失.     

城乡贫富差距中的人口因素探析

城乡人口差异是导致城乡贫富差距的重要根源,解决城乡贫富差距问题应该逐渐降低农村人口比例、提高农村人口素质。     

绿色环保纤维的开发与应用

介绍了目前国内外绿色环保纤维开发应用现状及其发展趋势，并对几种绿色纤维进行了详细介绍．     

关于高师院校计算机专业教学改革的几点建议

本文以高等师范院校计算机专业教学改革为例,从教育观念的更新、教学模式的转变、教学手段的更新、教学对象的再认识、教学中的教材教法等多个方面分析以网络为主的现代教育模式改革的思想,目的在于探索出一条以多媒体和网络为主体的教学环境下的教育新思路。     

Permutation Analysis of Track and Column Braiding

Introduction Trackandcolumnbraidingisanavailable3D braidingmethod[1～3],whichperformsbraidingprocessbymovingbraidingcarriersalongroworcolumndirection alternatively.LiandDing[4]examinethebraidingmethod andconcentratetheirstudyonthemovementofbraiding carriersonthebraidingplatform,onwhichthebraiding tracksarelocated.Accordingtothebraidingprinciple,a studyofbraidingprocessisactuallyastudyofthemovingpatternofyarnendsonthebraidingplatform.Intheiranotherpaper[6],thepositionsofbraidingcarriersare r…     

应用ETM+影像分析佛山市绿地信息

应用ETM 影像和地理信息系统对佛山城市绿地信息进行了研究。为了提取正确的绿地专题信息，对提取的方法进行了探讨。研究结果表明，佛山市绿地分布很不平衡．并提出了佛山市绿地建设的合理化建议。     

图析宁波电视收视格局

文章对宁波的电视收视总体格局、晚间时段各电视频道的竞争态势,以及电视剧在宁波的收视情况作了由总及分的探讨和分析,将数据做成图表的形式形象、科学地解构了宁波电视的收视格局,对了解宁波电视收视情况和促进各台竞争提供了实际的参考价值.     

时滞测试能量函数的局限性分析和改进模型

针对时滞试能量函数，分析了它在无冒险强健测试矢量生成时存在局限性和表达式较复杂的不足。在此基础上建立了无冒险条件下的时滞试能量函数，从而完善了Chakradhar提出的时滞测试能量和相应的测试生成算法。